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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 17 October 2021

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 17 October 2021. Gent vs AS Eupen led the list at 65% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 48%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 65%
Gent
2 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
Win 34%
Draw 21%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway 64%
Brann
1 : 1 FT
Stabaek
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 62%
Lommel United
3 : 0 FT
Royal Excel Mouscron
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 60%
Pardubice
2 : 4 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 29%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany 59%
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 5 FT
Bayern München
Win 35%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy 59%
Genoa
2 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 37%
Draw 22%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France 59%
Montpellier
1 : 0 FT
Lens
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 70%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway 58%
Stromsgodset
0 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 68%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy 58%
Juventus
1 : 0 FT
AS Roma
Win 32%
Draw 22%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria 58%
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 FT
Ried
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 66%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland 54%
FC ST. Gallen
2 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Austria 54%
WSG Wattens
2 : 2 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy 53%
Empoli
1 : 4 FT
Atalanta
Win 20%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 52%
Bangkok United
1 : 0 FT
Chonburi FC
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy 52%
Udinese
1 : 1 FT
Bologna
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 51%
Charleroi
2 : 0 FT
Genk
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Austria 51%
Lask Linz
0 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy 49%
Cagliari
3 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 48%
Zlin
2 : 3 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 48%
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 0 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Sunday 17 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gent vs AS Eupen at 65% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.