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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 15 May 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 15 May 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Tianjin Teda vs Chengdu Better City at 51% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the away win market — 8%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 2 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
3 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
2 : 2 FT
Al Nasr
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 58%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Rizespor
2 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
4 : 2 FT
Liverpool
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
2 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#8 League Two Β· England
Notts County
0 : 0 FT
Chesterfield
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 56%
#9 League Two Β· England
Salford City
2 : 2 FT
Grimsby
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
OH Leuven
3 : 0 FT
Antwerp
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
4 : 2 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
0 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 15 May 2026?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Tianjin Teda vs Chengdu Better City at 51% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.