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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Wednesday 13 May 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Wednesday 13 May 2026. Alaves vs Barcelona led the list at 59% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

K League 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 36%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Alaves
1 : 0 FT
Barcelona
Win 20%
Draw 20%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 K League 1 · South-Korea
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 18%
Draw 33%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Jeonbuk Motors Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
0 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 33%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 44%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#4 La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
2 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 55%
#5 K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 56%
#6 K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Anyang
2 : 2 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#7 Ligue 1 · France
Lens
0 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 2 FT
Strasbourg
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#9 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Arka Gdynia
0 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 0 FT
Sandviken
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#11 Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
2 : 4 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 13 May 2026?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Alaves vs Barcelona at 59% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.