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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 12 May 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Tuesday 12 May 2026. Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul led the list at 66% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

K League 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the away win market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
Win 14%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 2 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 16%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gangwon FC
2 : 0 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 19%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3 : 2 FT
Polessya
Win 18%
Draw 30%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 21%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zlin
2 : 4 FT
Teplice
Win 34%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kifisia
0 : 3 FT
Atromitos
Win 28%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
1 : 3 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France
RED Star FC 93
2 : 3 FT
Rodez
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
1 : 1 FT
Norrby IF
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
1 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Championship Β· England
Southampton
2 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 12 May 2026?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul at 66% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.