Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 21 March 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 21 March 2026. Lincoln vs Rotherham (Lincoln or draw) led the list at 91% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
League One · England
Lincoln or draw
91%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
88%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
87%
Premier League · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy or draw
87%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC or draw
86%
Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense or draw
86%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund or draw
86%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani or draw
86%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle or draw
86%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam or draw
85%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Thun or draw
85%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar or draw
84%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR or draw
84%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren or draw
84%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao or draw
84%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Rayong FC or draw
84%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons or draw
84%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan or draw
83%
Super League · China
Qingdao Youth Island or draw
82%
Premier League · England
Fulham or draw
82%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 21 March 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lincoln vs Rotherham (Lincoln or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.