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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 13 March 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Friday 13 March 2026. Colchester vs Crawley Town (Colchester or draw) sits top on 90% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 79%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Colchester or draw 90%
Colchester
0 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Colchester Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 88%
Fatih Karagümrük
2 : 0 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 12%
Draw 25%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 84%
St Patrick's Athl.
4 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile A. Italiano or draw 83%
A. Italiano
3 : 0 FT
Concepción
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 82%
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 1 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil Gremio or draw 82%
Gremio
1 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Utrecht or draw 82%
Jong Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France Le Mans or draw 81%
Nancy
2 : 4 FT
Le Mans
Win 19%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine Karpaty or draw 80%
SK Poltava
0 : 4 FT
Karpaty
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong PSV U21 or draw 80%
Jong PSV U21
1 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 79%
Marseille
1 : 0 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent or draw 78%
Gent
2 : 0 FT
Zulte Waregem
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 77%
Emmen
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 54%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia Dinamo Makhachkala or draw 76%
Dinamo Makhachkala
1 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France Montpellier or draw 76%
Montpellier
2 : 0 FT
Laval
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
#16 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 76%
Al Riyadh
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 55%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Elversberg or draw 76%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 : 0 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France Guingamp or draw 76%
Guingamp
1 : 0 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#19 Ligue 2 Β· France Boulogne or draw 75%
Bastia
0 : 1 FT
Boulogne
Win 25%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 13 March 2026?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Colchester vs Crawley Town (Colchester or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.