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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 16 March 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 16 March 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Dibba Al-Fujairah vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw) at 89% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 89%
Dibba Al-Fujairah
0 : 4 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 11%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 85%
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 0 FT
Derry City
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland Galway United or draw 85%
Galway United
4 : 3 FT
Waterford
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Premier League Β· England Brentford or draw 82%
Brentford
2 : 2 FT
Wolves
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain Rayo Vallecano or draw 82%
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Levante
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland Dundalk or draw 80%
Dundalk
1 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians or draw 77%
Shelbourne
0 : 0 FT
Bohemians
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo or draw 76%
Colo Colo
2 : 0 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile Union La Calera or draw 76%
Union La Calera
3 : 3 FT
O'Higgins
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 16 March 2026?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Dibba Al-Fujairah vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.