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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 5 May 2024

Thu 2 Fri 3 Sat 4 Sun 5 Mon 6 Tue 7 Wed 8

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 5 May 2024. Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG (SHANGHAI SIPG or draw) sits top on 94% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 94%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Utrecht or draw 93%

Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 56%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 58%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Ajman or draw 91%

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 54%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Holstein Kiel or draw 90%

Serie B · Italy Brescia or draw 89%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%

Super League · China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 88%

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 87%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#10

Serie A · Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 86%

#11

Allsvenskan · Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 84%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%

#12

Ekstraklasa · Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 84%

#13

Canadian Premier League · Canada Atlético Ottawa or draw 84%

#14

Superettan · Sweden Ostersunds FK or draw 83%

#15

Premier League · England Chelsea or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 78%

#16

La Liga · Spain Valencia or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 67% Valencia Clean Sheet 54%

#17

Premier League · Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 81%

Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#18

Primeira Liga · Portugal Arouca or draw 81%

#19

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%

#20

Serie A · Brazil Botafogo or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 5 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG (SHANGHAI SIPG or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.