🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 3 May 2024

Tue 30 Wed 1 Thu 2 Fri 3 Sat 4 Sun 5 Mon 6

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 3 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht (De Graafschap or draw) at 93% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 93%

Premier Division · Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ St Patrick's Athl. Clean Sheet 54%

Ligue 2 · France Bordeaux or draw 87%

Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Primera División · Chile Palestino or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Süper Lig · Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 85%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Roda or draw 84%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%

Veikkausliiga · Finland VPS or draw 82%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 80%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Jong AZ or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

#10

Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%

#11

Ligue 2 · France Caen or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%

#12

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

#13

Ligue 1 · France Lens or draw 77%

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%

#14

Ligue 2 · France Estac Troyes or draw 77%

Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#15

Thai League 1 · Thailand Uthai Thani or draw 77%

#16

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Groningen or draw 77%

Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#17

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium KVC Westerlo or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#18

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%

#19

Premier Division · Ireland Shelbourne or draw 75%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%

#20

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Jong PSV U21 or draw 75%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 3 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht (De Graafschap or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.