Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β Monday 6 May 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
19 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 6 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Konyaspor vs Fenerbahçe (Fenerbahçe or draw) at 85% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 74%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe or draw
85%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor or draw
83%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers or draw
83%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain or draw
83%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille or draw
82%
League Two Β· England
Doncaster or draw
82%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC or draw
82%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg or draw
81%
Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta or draw
81%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin or draw
79%
Premier League Β· Russia
CSKA Moscow or draw
79%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC or draw
78%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw
77%
Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli or draw
77%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers or draw
77%
Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit or draw
77%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw
77%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United or draw
76%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba or draw
75%
Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Double Chance β common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 6 May 2024?
19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Konyaspor vs Fenerbahçe (Fenerbahçe or draw) at 85% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.