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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 5 December 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

32 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 5 December 2025. FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 led the list at 79% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies seven of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
Bucheon FC 1995
1 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
✓ Win 52%
Draw 34%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
1 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
✓ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 0 FT
Karpaty
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
3 : 2 FT
Samsunspor
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 2 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 26%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 22%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Preußen Münster
2 : 2 FT
Hannover 96
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 0 FT
Monaco
✓ Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
Boulogne
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
0 : 3 FT
Annecy
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
1 : 0 FT
Nancy
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Le Mans
1 : 0 FT
Amiens
✓ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 0 CANC
RED Star FC 93
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
0 : 2 FT
Groningen
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
3 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
2 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
Emmen
✓ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–0 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 4 FT
MVV
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
2 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
4 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 30%
Draw 20%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Olympic Charleroi
0 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 14%
Draw 25%
Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
Win 32%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
0 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 23%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 52%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
5 : 2 FT
Gornik Zabrze
✓ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
1 : 2 FT
Dender
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Championship · England
Hull City
1 : 4 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
1 : 0 FT
Marseille
✓ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Oviedo
0 : 0 FT
Mallorca
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
1 : 1 FT
Sporting CP
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Palestino
2 : 2 FT
Huachipato
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 32 of 32 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 5 December 2025?

32 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.