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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 26 September 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 47 fixtures on Friday 26 September 2025. Bayern München vs Werder Bremen sits top on 81% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
6 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
4 : 2 FT
Dalian Zhixing
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 3 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
1 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
3 : 1 FT
Al Bataeh
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
0 : 1 FT
Ajman
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 3 FT
Dynamo
Win 30%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
1 : 0 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kudrivka
2 : 1 FT
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
0 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 26%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 3 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
1 : 1 FT
Dibba Al-Fujairah
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 0 FT
Dynamo Dresden
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
1 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 36%
Draw 22%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
0 : 1 FT
Galatasaray
Win 20%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Dukla Praha
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 2 FT
PAU
Win 32%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
Le Mans
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
0 : 0 FT
Bastia
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
0 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
3 : 1 FT
Annecy
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
3 : 2 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
4 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
5 : 3 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
2 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
2 : 4 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 2 FT
Roda
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 25%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KRC Genk II
1 : 4 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 18%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
0 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 31%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 49%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
4 : 0 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Plock
1 : 1 FT
GKS Katowice
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie B Β· Italy
Catanzaro
2 : 2 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
1 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
2 : 1 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Waterford
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
0 : 0 FT
Espanyol
Win 21%
Draw 26%
Win 53%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
2 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
4 : 0 FT
Deportes Iquique
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%

Showing 47 of 47 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 26 September 2025?

47 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Werder Bremen at 81% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.