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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 2 March 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

78 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 2 March 2025. Marseille vs Nantes led the list at 75% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

2. Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
1 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
0 : 0 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City
1 : 2 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
3 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · Russia
Khimki
1 : 0 FT
Fakel
✓ Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC
1 : 3 FT
Bangkok United
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United
0 : 1 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Inhulets
2 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 20%
Draw 29%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
3 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Puszcza Niepołomice
0 : 1 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
0 : 2 FT
Torino
Win 28%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 0 FT
Nakhon Pathom
✓ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
0 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
1 : 1 FT
Dukla Praha
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 61% Slovan Liberec Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
4 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
4 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
✓ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
1 : 2 FT
Lokeren-Temse
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Leganes
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
3 : 3 FT
Galatasaray
Win 19%
Draw 20%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
0 : 3 FT
FC Zurich
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
0 : 1 FT
Ajax
Win 11%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 71%
Over 2.5 62%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
4 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
1 : 2 FT
Lask Linz
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
FC BW Linz
2 : 1 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
2 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
✓ Win 66%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
2 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
3 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
✓ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
2 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
✓ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
2 : 1 FT
Cagliari
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Genoa
1 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro
1 : 1 FT
Reggiana
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
1 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo
1 : 0 FT
Brescia
✓ Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
0 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
1 : 2 FT
Atromitos
Win 29%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
0 : 2 FT
Plzen
Win 34%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Karviná
2 : 0 FT
Slovácko
✓ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
2 : 2 FT
Seraing United
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
3 : 0 FT
Lamia
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
2 : 1 FT
Colo Colo
✓ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
4 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
✓ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 1 FT
Estrela
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
1 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
Win 20%
Draw 31%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
1 : 0 FT
BSC Young Boys
✓ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
Yverdon Sport
2 : 2 FT
FC Luzern
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
4 : 0 FT
Willem II
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
3 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
✓ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
2 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
✓ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
0 : 4 FT
Rennes
Win 28%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Auxerre
0 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers
0 : 4 FT
Toulouse
Win 21%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 51%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
0 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 0 FT
GKS Katowice
✓ Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
1 : 1 FT
Dynamo
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
2 : 1 FT
Como
✓ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
1 : 1 FT
Alaves
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 23%
Draw 40%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
2 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
✓ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
3 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
✓ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
✓ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Farense
0 : 1 FT
AVS
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
0 : 0 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
1 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
0 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 15%
Draw 20%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1 : 0 FT
Al Riyadh
✓ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
2 : 0 FT
Nantes
✓ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
1 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
3 : 3 FT
Valencia
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
2 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
2 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
✓ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
2 : 2 FT
O'Higgins
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 78 of 78 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 2 March 2025?

78 fixtures met the criteria, led by Marseille vs Nantes at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.