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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 19 March 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 82 fixtures on Sunday 19 March 2023. Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München sits top on 73% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 17%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
3 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
✓ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
0 : 3 CANC
Trabzonspor
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daegu FC
2 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
1 : 3 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
✓ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
1 : 2 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · Russia
Khimki
0 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Police Tero
1 : 1 FT
Lampang FC
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64% Police Tero Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Premier League · Ukraine
Inhulets
1 : 2 FT
Chornomorets
Win 33%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
0 : 2 FT
Heerenveen
Win 34%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Warta Poznań
2 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
✓ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Sampdoria
3 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 26%
Draw 38%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 83% BTTS No 74% Hellas Verona Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 0–0 · 24%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
2 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
✓ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Ajaccio
0 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 14%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
0 : 1 FT
Bangkok United
Win 21%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 1 FT
Minai
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Swansea
2 : 0 FT
Bristol City
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hansa Rostock
2 : 5 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 27%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Sandhausen
0 : 5 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 23%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 : 0 FT
Hannover 96
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
0 : 1 FT
Charleroi
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
2 : 0 FT
Ankaragücü
✓ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
2 : 2 FT
Başakşehir
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
✓ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 0 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
2 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
4 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
0 : 1 FT
Akhmat
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 1 FT
Torpedo Moskva
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Arsenal
4 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
2 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
1 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
2 : 0 FT
Auxerre
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
2 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Miedz Legnica
0 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 22%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 0 FT
Lecce
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Torino
0 : 4 FT
Napoli
Win 18%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 53%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
3 : 0 FT
Zlin
✓ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zbrojovka Brno
1 : 2 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 35%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
3 : 1 FT
Teplice
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 0 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
✓ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
0 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 35%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge II
2 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
✓ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Ternana
1 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
0 : 3 FT
Villarreal
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 0 FT
Elche
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
2 : 0 FT
Maritimo
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 10%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
1 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
3 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
✓ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
1 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 3 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 33%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
1 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
2 : 0 FT
Rapid Vienna
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Ried
0 : 0 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Lustenau
4 : 2 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
2 : 2 FT
Lask Linz
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
0 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 21%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 56%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
0 : 2 FT
Rennes
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
1 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 28%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
1 : 0 FT
Zenit
✓ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio
1 : 0 FT
AS Roma
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 34%
Draw 36%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
1 : 2 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
2 : 0 FT
Sevilla
✓ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
✓ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
0 : 0 FT
FC Porto
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
3 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
✓ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liège II
1 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
2 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
✓ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
0 : 0 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 34%
✓ Draw 39%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Reims
1 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 33%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
0 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
2 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
✓ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
1 : 2 FT
Famalicao
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
0 : 0 FT
Deportes Copiapo
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
Magallanes
1 : 1 FT
U. Catolica
Win 22%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola
2 : 0 FT
Palestino
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 82 of 82 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 19 March 2023?

82 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.