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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 24 April 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

75 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 24 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Rennes vs Lorient at 76% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 26%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
2 : 1 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 2 FT
Coritiba
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 0 FT
Vitesse
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
3 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
✓ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
BTTS No 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
2 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
5 : 0 FT
Lorient
✓ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Superettan · Sweden
Skövde AIK
2 : 0 FT
Norrby IF
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Rubin
1 : 0 FT
Arsenal Tula
✓ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Khimki
4 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
3 : 1 FT
Bangkok United
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Suphanburi
1 : 2 FT
Pattaya United
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 0 FT
Hannover 96
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
2 : 4 FT
SV Sandhausen
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Erzgebirge AUE
2 : 2 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 0 FT
Antwerp
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
3 : 0 FT
FC Lugano
✓ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
0 : 1 FT
Heracles
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
2 : 1 FT
Utrecht
✓ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
5 : 0 FT
Austria Vienna
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
2 : 3 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Brighton
2 : 2 FT
Southampton
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Premier League · England
Burnley
1 : 0 FT
Wolves
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Premier League · England
Chelsea
1 : 0 FT
West Ham
✓ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
2 : 2 FT
Angers
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Metz
0 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 28%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
5 : 3 FT
Bordeaux
✓ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
1 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
✓ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
✓ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
1 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
✓ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 67%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 : 0 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
3 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
✓ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
2 : 2 FT
Udinese
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
3 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 14%
Draw 21%
Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
2 : 3 FT
Konyaspor
Win 25%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
3 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
✓ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
0 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
3 : 2 FT
Spartak Moscow
✓ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
0 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
2 : 3 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
✓ Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
3 : 1 FT
Slovácko
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
3 : 0 FT
FC Luzern
✓ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
3 : 1 FT
Lausanne
✓ Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
1 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
1 : 0 FT
Strasbourg
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
2 : 0 FT
Everton
✓ Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Liverpool Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 3–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
2 : 0 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Helsingborg
1 : 1 FT
BK Hacken
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
2 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
2 : 2 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
1 : 0 FT
Haugesund
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
2 : 5 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
2 : 0 FT
Bodo/Glimt
✓ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
1 : 0 FT
jerv
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Genoa
1 : 0 FT
Cagliari
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
3 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
✓ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
1 : 0 FT
Dynamo
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica
1 : 1 FT
Colo Colo
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
2 : 2 FT
Belenenses
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
4 : 3 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 26%
Draw 23%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Altay
0 : 1 FT
Galatasaray
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
0 : 0 FT
Molde
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Reims
0 : 1 FT
Marseille
Win 29%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio
1 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Santos
3 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
✓ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
0 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 6 FT
Valour
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Tondela
1 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Juventude
0 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
1 : 1 FT
Botafogo
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 0 FT
Nublense
✓ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 75 of 75 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 24 April 2022?

75 fixtures met the criteria, led by Rennes vs Lorient at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.