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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 22 April 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

33 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 22 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe at 64% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 28%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Haka
2 : 1 FT
HIFK Helsinki
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
0 : 1 FT
KuPS
Win 16%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
0 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 2 FT
Dynamo Dresden
Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
2 : 2 FT
FC Ingolstadt 04
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Rizespor
0 : 6 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 21%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 36%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
0 : 4 FT
De Graafschap
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 3 FT
Almere City FC
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
3 : 2 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 2 FT
Al Nasr
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
5 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 4 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
Huddersfield
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Newport County
1 : 2 FT
Colchester
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 3 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 30%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
7 : 1 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 0 FT
Finn Harps
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
2 : 1 FT
Paris FC
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Dijon
3 : 3 FT
Guingamp
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 14%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
0 : 0 FT
Amiens
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Havre
0 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 29%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
0 : 3 FT
Quevilly
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Nimes
3 : 2 FT
Rodez
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
0 : 1 FT
Sochaux
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Valenciennes
0 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
Win 17%
Draw 31%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Ajaccio Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 19%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vizela
2 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%

Showing 33 of 33 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 22 April 2022?

33 fixtures met the criteria, led by Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe at 64% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.