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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 11 May 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 11 May 2026. Vitória SC vs Casa Pia led the list at 48% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 29%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Primeira Liga supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
0 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 4 FT
Sporting CP
Win 16%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 62%
BTTS No 54%
#3 Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 2 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#4 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#5 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
2 : 0 FT
Nacional
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 3 FT
Arouca
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
#7 Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
2 : 1 FT
Rubin
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#8 Premier League · Russia
Akron
1 : 3 FT
FC Rostov
Win 30%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Tondela
2 : 0 FT
Moreirense
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
2 : 2 FT
SC Braga
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#12 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
NEOM
2 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 55%
#13 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
1 : 1 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
#14 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 27%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 53%
#15 Championship · England
Millwall
0 : 2 FT
Hull City
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Serie A · Italy
Napoli
2 : 3 FT
Bologna
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#17 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
2 : 0 FT
Orgryte IS
✓ Win 84%
Draw 9%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 87% BTTS Yes 67%
#18 Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
2 : 1 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#19 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela
0 : 0 FT
Famalicao
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#20 Eredivisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 11 May 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Vitória SC vs Casa Pia at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.