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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 1 May 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 1 May 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Viking vs Rosenborg at 50% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
3 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
2 : 1 FT
Reggiana
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy
Carrarese
0 : 0 FT
Cesena
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
4 : 0 FT
Shenyang Urban
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
1 : 1 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 22%
Draw 35%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Pisa
1 : 2 FT
Lecce
Win 31%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 66%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
2 : 0 FT
Virtus Entella
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
1 : 0 FT
Widzew Łódź
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Waterford
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
1 : 1 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
SK Poltava
3 : 3 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#13 Premier League Β· England
Leeds
3 : 1 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Super League Β· China
Dalian Zhixing
1 : 0 FT
Chongqing Tongliang Long
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
0 : 1 FT
Mallorca
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
3 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy
Mantova
3 : 2 FT
Monza
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy
Empoli
1 : 0 FT
Avellino
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#20 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
2 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 1 May 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Rosenborg at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.