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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 28 April 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 28 April 2026. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Damac led the list at 48% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 23%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1 : 0 FT
Damac
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 66%
#2 League One Β· England
Stockport County
1 : 2 FT
Port Vale
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 3 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
NEOM
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hazm
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#5 Championship Β· England
Southampton
2 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
3 : 1 FT
Al Najma
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 League One Β· England
Northampton
0 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 26%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 49%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 League One Β· England
Peterborough
0 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
1 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
1 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 10 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 28 April 2026?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Damac at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.