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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 18 January 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 18 January 2026. PAOK vs OFI sits top on 50% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the clean sheet market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
3 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Santa Clara
0 : 1 FT
Famalicao
Win 35%
Draw 36%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 71%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
1 : 0 FT
Antwerp
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
0 : 1 FT
Bangkok United
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
0 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
1 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
0 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 17%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
1 : 2 FT
Lokeren-Temse
Win 23%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
2 : 1 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Holstein Kiel
2 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
1 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
0 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
2 : 3 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 21%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 62%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
3 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
2 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#20 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
NEOM
1 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 11%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 73%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 18 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PAOK vs OFI at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.