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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 17 January 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 17 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli at 54% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 41%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 2 FT
FC St. Pauli
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 61% Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
1 : 0 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 League One Β· England
Northampton
1 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
3 : 2 FT
Al Shabab
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#5 Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 58%
#6 League One Β· England
Exeter City
3 : 0 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
2 : 2 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#8 League One Β· England
Mansfield Town
3 : 0 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
3 : 2 FT
Oviedo
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Championship Β· England
Watford
0 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 Championship Β· England
Ipswich
3 : 0 FT
Blackburn
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia
3 : 1 FT
Catanzaro
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#16 League One Β· England
Wigan
0 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#17 League Two Β· England
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
0 : 2 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#19 League Two Β· England
Bristol Rovers
0 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
#20 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panserraikos
2 : 1 FT
Kifisia
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 17 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.