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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 16 January 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 16 January 2026. Pisa vs Atalanta sits top on 61% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Italy
Pisa
1 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 13%
Draw 28%
Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 71% Atalanta Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
✓ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 71%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 1 FT
Virtus Entella
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
4 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
✓ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#5 Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
1 : 3 FT
Lorient
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
0 : 2 FT
Bastia
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#7 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 3 FT
RAAL La Louvière
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#8 Championship · England
West Brom
2 : 3 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 56%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
0 : 2 FT
Girona
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
3 : 1 FT
PAU
✓ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Boulogne
1 : 0 FT
Montpellier
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
2 : 0 FT
Amiens
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
3 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 53%
#14 Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 0 FT
Lille
✓ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 1 FT
Le Mans
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
#17 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
0 : 3 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Najma
1 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#19 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 2 FT
Cambuur
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 16 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Pisa vs Atalanta at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.