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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 28 August 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 28 August 2024. Cruzeiro vs Internacional led the list at 52% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

La Liga supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro
0 : 0 FT
Internacional
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
0 : 0 FT
Espanyol
Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
3 : 0 FT
Rayong FC
✓ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 54%
#4 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
2 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
✓ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 53%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
0 : 0 FT
Leganes
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 0 FT
Valencia
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 2 FT
Damac
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
✓ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 FT
Alaves
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 57%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
0 : 0 FT
Spezia
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#11 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
2 : 1 FT
Al Orubah
✓ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#13 Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
2 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Cesena
2 : 0 FT
Catanzaro
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
1 : 1 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia
1 : 0 FT
Mantova
✓ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Serie A · Brazil
Criciuma
1 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Primera División · Chile
Cobreloa
1 : 0 FT
Coquimbo Unido
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Karviná
0 : 0 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#20 Primera División · Chile
Deportes Iquique
2 : 1 FT
Deportes Copiapo
✓ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 28 August 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cruzeiro vs Internacional at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.