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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 27 August 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Tuesday 27 August 2024. Cremonese vs Palermo sits top on 46% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 25%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
0 : 1 FT
Palermo
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#2 Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
2 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
3 : 3 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 1 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#5 Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten
3 : 2 FT
Orebro SK
✓ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 56%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
0 : 0 FT
Sevilla
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#7 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
4 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
✓ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
1 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 2 FT
Barcelona
Win 31%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
0 : 3 FT
Helsingborg
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Paranaense
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
2 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
2 : 0 FT
Brescia
✓ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
#15 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 4 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 31%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
1 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Serie B · Italy
Salernitana
3 : 2 FT
Sampdoria
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 27 August 2024?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cremonese vs Palermo at 46% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.