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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 30 August 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 30 August 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Galway United vs Derry City at 49% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
1 : 0 FT
Derry City
Win 28%
Draw 41%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 71%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Guingamp
3 : 4 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
2 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
5 : 0 FT
Inhulets
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 24%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
0 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 39%
Draw 36%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Martigues
0 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 0 FT
Hannover 96
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
1 : 0 FT
Lokeren-Temse
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 0 FT
Cambuur
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
2 : 2 FT
Palestino
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
1 : 1 FT
Annecy
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 23%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
0 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 28%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 62%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
0 : 5 FT
Excelsior
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
1 : 0 FT
Rodez
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 48%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
3 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 30 August 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Galway United vs Derry City at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.