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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 3 March 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 3 March 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre at 53% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 39%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 0 FT
Le Havre
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
3 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 17%
Draw 27%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
1 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 1 FT
Fakel
Win 46%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 2 FT
Farense
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 79%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 16%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
0 : 1 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 1 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 19%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
Cagliari
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
1 : 1 FT
Austria Lustenau
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
0 : 1 FT
Galatasaray
Win 20%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Real Betis
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
1 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
2 : 1 FT
Nice
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Sturm Graz
4 : 0 FT
Wolfsberger AC
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
2 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
0 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
1 : 0 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 3 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.