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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 2 March 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 2 March 2024. SC Braga vs Estrela led the list at 50% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
3 : 0 FT
Estrela
✓ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
1 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 19%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 53%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#3 Championship · England
Rotherham
0 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#4 Championship · England
Leicester
1 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Torino
0 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
1 : 1 FT
Rubin
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 40%
Draw 37%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 61%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
3 : 3 FT
Las Palmas
Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre
0 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
2 : 2 FT
Concarneau
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#11 Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 2 FT
Lausanne
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#12 Championship · England
Norwich
1 : 0 FT
Sunderland
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Karviná
1 : 3 FT
Slovácko
Win 17%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 57%
#14 Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
2 : 0 FT
FC ST. Gallen
✓ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
0 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
3 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 21%
Draw 33%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#17 Championship · England
Stoke City
2 : 0 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
2 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 29%
✓ Draw 38%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 61%
#19 Super League · Switzerland
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#20 Serie B · Italy
Ternana
1 : 3 FT
Parma
Win 25%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 2 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Braga vs Estrela at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.