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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 1 March 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 1 March 2024. Emmen vs Willem II sits top on 42% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 42% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Willem II
Win 19%
Draw 28%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 1 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54%
#3 Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
0 : 0 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
#4 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 29%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Ruch Chorzów
3 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
0 : 1 FT
Charleroi
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#7 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 2 FT
Al Riyadh
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
2 : 1 FT
Waterford
Win 19%
Draw 28%
Win 53%
#9 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
#10 Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
2 : 0 FT
Krylia Sovetov
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
#11 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
2 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
✓ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60%
#12 Championship · England
West Brom
2 : 1 FT
Coventry
✓ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#13 Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 5 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 14%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 0 FT
Pohang Steelers
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#17 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#18 Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
4 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
0 : 1 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
3 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 1 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Emmen vs Willem II at 42% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.