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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 27 February 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 27 February 2026. Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC sits top on 66% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 40%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
3 : 5 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 16%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
2 : 3 FT
Al Ain
Win 17%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KAA Gent II
2 : 1 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 20%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Dukla Praha
0 : 2 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 19%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 2 FT
Cambuur
Win 24%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Premier League · England
Wolves
2 : 0 FT
Aston Villa
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 52%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 27%
Draw 22%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
2 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
#9 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
0 : 1 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 27%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 48%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 29%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 24%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#12 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
1 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
#13 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Dynamo Dresden
3 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#14 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#15 La Liga · Spain
Levante
2 : 0 FT
Alaves
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Telstar
3 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%
#17 Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
1 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
2 : 2 FT
Roda
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Arka Gdynia
2 : 2 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
3 : 3 FT
De Graafschap
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 27 February 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 66% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.