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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 2 March 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Monday 2 March 2026. Pisa vs Bologna sits top on 61% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Pisa
0 : 1 FT
Bologna
Win 17%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 61%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Sochi
2 : 3 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 48%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
0 : 2 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 32%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
SK Poltava
0 : 2 FT
Kudrivka
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
3 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 54%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 2 FT
Benfica
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 7 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 2 March 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Pisa vs Bologna at 61% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.