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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 17 April 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Patro Eisden
4 : 0 FT
Francs Borains
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.