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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Saturday 18 April 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 34%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 34%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
1 : 1 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 31%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 61%
#3 Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 2 FT
Southampton
Win 37%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.