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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Thursday 19 March 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
3 : 2 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kayserispor
1 : 0 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2 : 0 FT
SK Poltava
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
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Showing top 7 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.