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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 16 January 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
3 : 3 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
0 : 3 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 41%
Draw 22%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.