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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Monday 19 January 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Cremonese
0 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
0 : 3 FT
Guingamp
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 58%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
0 : 3 FT
Como
Win 29%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
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Showing top 13 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.