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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Saturday 17 January 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
0 : 3 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggiana
1 : 2 FT
Cesena
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 60%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
2 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.