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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Thursday 15 January 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Como
1 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
2 : 3 FT
Bologna
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
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Showing top 4 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.