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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 26 September 2025

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy
Catanzaro
2 : 2 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
2 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.