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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Monday 29 September 2025

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
1 : 4 FT
Polessya
Win 34%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
0 : 3 FT
Lazio
Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
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Showing top 18 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.