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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Sunday 28 September 2025

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Metz
0 : 0 FT
Le Havre
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United
0 : 1 FT
Liège
Win 35%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
3 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 57%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.