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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 22 November 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 22 November 2025. Heracles vs GO Ahead Eagles led the list at 94% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 86%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
4 : 2 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 19%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 79%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 2 FT
Servette FC
Win 58%
Draw 18%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
3 : 4 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 41%
Draw 21%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#4 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
5 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 55%
Draw 19%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 29%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
4 : 0 FT
Brann
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 72%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
4 : 1 FT
Prachuap
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#9 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 5 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 31%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
0 : 5 FT
Buriram United
Win 27%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 69%
#11 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
1 : 1 FT
Yunnan Yukun
Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
2 : 1 FT
Nancy
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
1 : 0 FT
Strasbourg
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Super League Β· China
Sichuan Jiuniu
1 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 32%
Draw 22%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Carrarese
0 : 0 FT
Reggiana
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%
#16 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 0 FT
Charleroi
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
0 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 16%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Anyang
0 : 1 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
4 : 1 FT
Monaco
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 22 November 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Heracles vs GO Ahead Eagles at 94% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.