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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 20 June 2021

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Sunday 20 June 2021. Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 FF led the list at 3.86 in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 3.86 down to 2.59, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies ten of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the goal fest market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
0 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 20%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
2 : 1 FT
Stabaek
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
– : – CANC
Stromsgodset
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
– : – CANC
Brann
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
1 : 2 FT
Lillestrom
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
– : – CANC
Rosenborg
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Mjondalen
1 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
1 : 3 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
1 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
3 : 0 FT
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
– : – CANC
ODD Ballklubb
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 12 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 20 June 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 FF at 3.86 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.