Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 28 February 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 28 February 2025. The strongest reading belongs to SHANGHAI SIPG vs Changchun Yatai (SHANGHAI SIPG or draw) at 88% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
Pro League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
88%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr or draw
87%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco or draw
86%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam or draw
84%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw
83%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC or draw
83%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl. or draw
82%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom or draw
81%
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng or draw
80%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv or draw
80%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United or draw
79%
Ligue 2 · France
Laval or draw
79%
Serie B · Italy
Spezia or draw
79%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw
78%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira or draw
78%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina or draw
78%
Premier League · Ukraine
Karpaty or draw
77%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne or draw
77%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RAAL La Louvière or draw
77%
La Liga · Spain
Las Palmas or draw
76%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 28 February 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SHANGHAI SIPG vs Changchun Yatai (SHANGHAI SIPG or draw) at 88% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.