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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 25 October 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 25 October 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Pogon Szczecin vs Puszcza Niepołomice (Pogon Szczecin or draw) at 89% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 89%
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 1 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 65% Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 87%
Al Ain
1 : 1 FT
Dibba Al Hisn
Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 87%
Al Kholood
3 : 3 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 13%
Draw 16%
Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Kortrijk or draw 86%
Kortrijk
1 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 86%
Rennes
1 : 0 FT
Le Havre
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Nürnberg or draw 86%
1. FC Nürnberg
8 : 3 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen or draw 85%
Almere City FC
1 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 15%
Draw 24%
Win 61%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shelbourne or draw 83%
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#9 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Patro Eisden or draw 82%
Seraing United
0 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 60%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France PAU or draw 81%
PAU
0 : 2 FT
Amiens
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine Ruh Lviv or draw 81%
Ruh Lviv
1 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland Galway United or draw 81%
Galway United
2 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France Clermont Foot or draw 80%
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
Martigues
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France Metz or draw 80%
Metz
1 : 0 FT
Guingamp
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 79%
Dordrecht
3 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil Vasco DA Gama or draw 79%
Vasco DA Gama
1 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Casa Pia or draw 78%
Casa Pia
1 : 0 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Piast Gliwice or draw 77%
Piast Gliwice
3 : 3 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Ligue 2 Β· France Dunkerque or draw 77%
Dunkerque
2 : 0 FT
RED Star FC 93
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians or draw 77%
Waterford
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 25 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Pogon Szczecin vs Puszcza Niepołomice (Pogon Szczecin or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.