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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 27 October 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 27 October 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Benfica vs Rio Ave (Benfica or draw) at 93% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 93%
Benfica
5 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 93%
Slavia Praha
3 : 0 FT
Dukla Praha
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 23%
Win 7%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Slavia Praha Clean Sheet 59%
#3 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 92%
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 2 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 92%
Antwerp
3 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 23%
Win 8%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 91%
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 3 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 61%
Draw 30%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 66% Union St. Gilloise Clean Sheet 60%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon or draw 90%
Lyon
2 : 2 FT
Auxerre
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Super League Β· China Tianjin Teda or draw 87%
Tianjin Teda
1 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 86%
VfL Bochum
0 : 5 FT
Bayern München
Win 14%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 85% BTTS Yes 75%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 86%
Fenerbahçe
2 : 0 FT
Bodrum FK
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 86%
Ajax
1 : 0 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC or draw 85%
Port FC
1 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden BK Hacken or draw 85%
BK Hacken
0 : 1 FT
Halmstad
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 64%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain Getafe or draw 83%
Getafe
1 : 1 FT
Valencia
Win 51%
Draw 32%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 64%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 83%
Twente
5 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy Lazio or draw 83%
Lazio
3 : 0 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Super League Β· China Henan Jianye or draw 83%
Henan Jianye
0 : 0 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent or draw 82%
Gent
0 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Prachuap or draw 82%
Prachuap
3 : 0 FT
Uthai Thani
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#19 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia or draw 82%
Jagiellonia
3 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#20 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 81%
Dundalk
0 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 19%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 27 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Benfica vs Rio Ave (Benfica or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.