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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 26 October 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 26 October 2024. Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior (Buriram United or draw) sits top on 95% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 83%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 95%
Buriram United
1 : 1 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 83%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 74%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 90%
CSKA Moscow
0 : 0 FT
Fakel
Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Sukhothai FC or draw 90%
Sukhothai FC
3 : 1 FT
Rayong FC
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Charleroi or draw 90%
Charleroi
0 : 2 FT
OH Leuven
Win 61%
Draw 29%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 60% Charleroi Clean Sheet 54%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine Oleksandria or draw 89%
Oleksandria
2 : 1 FT
Inhulets
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
BTTS No 58%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 89%
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 11%
Draw 22%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#7 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 88%
Manchester City
1 : 0 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Championship Β· England Sunderland or draw 88%
Sunderland
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 58%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras or draw 88%
Palmeiras
2 : 2 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 87%
Napoli
1 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 86%
PSV Eindhoven
6 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan or draw 86%
Lech Poznan
2 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#13 Premier League Β· England Brentford or draw 86%
Brentford
4 : 3 FT
Ipswich
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#14 League One Β· England Reading or draw 85%
Reading
1 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 85%
Mjallby AIF
1 : 1 FT
Gais
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54%
#16 Championship Β· England West Brom or draw 85%
West Brom
0 : 0 FT
Cardiff
Win 54%
Draw 31%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Wolfsburg or draw 84%
FC St. Pauli
0 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 53%
#18 Championship Β· England Plymouth or draw 84%
Plymouth
3 : 3 FT
Preston
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#19 Championship Β· England Coventry or draw 84%
Coventry
3 : 2 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#20 Championship Β· England Watford or draw 83%
Watford
1 : 0 FT
Blackburn
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 17%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 26 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior (Buriram United or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.