Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 22 October 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
19 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 22 October 2024. Leeds vs Watford (Leeds or draw) led the list at 92% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Championship supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 63%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Championship · England
Leeds or draw
92%
League One · England
Lincoln or draw
87%
League One · England
Stevenage or draw
87%
League Two · England
Gillingham or draw
87%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon or draw
85%
Championship · England
Oxford United or draw
84%
League Two · England
Walsall or draw
83%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht or draw
83%
Superettan · Sweden
Degerfors IF or draw
82%
Championship · England
Cardiff or draw
82%
League One · England
Exeter City or draw
80%
League Two · England
Doncaster or draw
78%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons or draw
78%
Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense or draw
77%
Championship · England
Stoke City or draw
77%
League One · England
Wycombe or draw
77%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU or draw
76%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ or draw
76%
League One · England
Wigan or draw
76%
Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 22 October 2024?
19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leeds vs Watford (Leeds or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.