Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 20 April 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 20 April 2024. Bolton vs Port Vale (Bolton or draw) led the list at 91% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 84%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
League One · England
Bolton or draw
91%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United or draw
91%
La Liga · Spain
Girona or draw
90%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United or draw
90%
League Two · England
Stockport County or draw
89%
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
88%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC or draw
87%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin or draw
87%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna or draw
86%
Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua or draw
86%
Serie B · Italy
Venezia or draw
85%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow or draw
85%
Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC or draw
85%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw
85%
League One · England
Wycombe or draw
85%
Serie A · Brazil
Gremio or draw
85%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI or draw
85%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul or draw
84%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice or draw
84%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF or draw
84%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Predictions by country
UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 20 April 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bolton vs Port Vale (Bolton or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.