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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 21 April 2024

Thu 18 Fri 19 Sat 20 Sun 21 Mon 22 Tue 23 Wed 24

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 21 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Galatasaray vs Pendikspor (Galatasaray or draw) at 94% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 79%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 94%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Allsvenskan · Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 86%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Karlsruher SC or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Primera División · Chile Union Espanola or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Prachuap or draw 85%

Serie A · Italy Torino or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Torino Clean Sheet 53%

Süper Lig · Turkey Başakşehir or draw 84%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Muangthong United or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#10

Ligue 1 · France Lille or draw 83%

#11

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%

#12

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 83%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%

#13

Süper Lig · Turkey Antalyaspor or draw 82%

Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%

#14

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Charleroi or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#15

K League 1 · South-Korea Daegu FC or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%

#16

Ekstraklasa · Poland Cracovia Krakow or draw 80%

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%

#17

Serie A · Brazil Botafogo or draw 80%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%

#18

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%

#19

Championship · England Blackburn or draw 80%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%

#20

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 79%

Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 69% FC Porto Clean Sheet 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 21 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Galatasaray vs Pendikspor (Galatasaray or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.