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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 19 April 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 19 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Athletic Club vs Granada CF (Athletic Club or draw) at 93% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 63%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Spain Athletic Club or draw 93%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 57% Athletic Club Clean Sheet 54%

Premier Division · Ireland Shelbourne or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65% Shelbourne Clean Sheet 54%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 83%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 60%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Telstar or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Beerschot VA or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 75% Beerschot VA Clean Sheet 61%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Roda or draw 82%

Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

League One · England Oxford United or draw 81%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Lommel United or draw 80%

#10

Canadian Premier League · Canada Vancouver FC or draw 80%

#11

Serie A · Brazil Botafogo or draw 79%

#12

Premier Division · Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%

#13

Thai League 1 · Thailand Port FC or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#14

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 78%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%

#15

Premier Division · Ireland Sligo Rovers or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%

#16

Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 77%

#17

Serie B · Italy Cosenza or draw 77%

Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%

#18

Super League · China Tianjin Teda or draw 76%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%

#19

Premier Division · Ireland Bohemians or draw 75%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 19 April 2024?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Athletic Club vs Granada CF (Athletic Club or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.